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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.40vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.28+0.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.08-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.11-2.52vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.50-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
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3.4University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.48Western Washington University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.42Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 45.6% | 26.9% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 13.2% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 11.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 37.2% |
| Gabe Hill | 14.5% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 9.7% |
| Kate Flanagan | 13.1% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 12.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 6.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.