← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.25+0.98vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.50+2.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.07-0.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.11-1.66vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University1.08-2.45vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.28-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.98University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
-
4.16Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
-
3.42University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
-
3.34University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
-
3.55Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.54Western Washington University0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 45.4% | 28.3% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 26.3% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 13.5% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 10.5% |
| Kate Flanagan | 15.6% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 9.8% |
| Gabe Hill | 12.4% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 13.6% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.