← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.08+2.46vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington2.25-0.01vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.07-0.60vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.50-0.79vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.28-1.42vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington1.11-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
1.99University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
-
3.4University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
-
4.21Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
-
4.58Western Washington University0.280.1%1st Place
-
3.37University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Hill | 13.4% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 12.7% |
| Kris Thompson | 46.1% | 26.0% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 14.1% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 8.7% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 27.5% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 21.8% | 39.4% |
| Kate Flanagan | 14.0% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.