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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.47+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.37+4.99vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25-0.09vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.88+1.96vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.28+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.11-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-1.85vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.50-1.47vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.08-5.61vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.90-6.39vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-2.19-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.99University of British Columbia0.370.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.96Oregon State University0.880.1%1st Place
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7.16Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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6.53Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.39Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.61University of British Columbia0.900.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Puget Sound-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Odou | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joren Jackson | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 3.7% |
| Kris Thompson | 28.5% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 4.3% |
| Kate Flanagan | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 2.1% |
| Gabe Hill | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Matt Sklar | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.