← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.58+2.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.56+1.32vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.17+0.36vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.03-2.32vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.16-1.53vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.95-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
-
3.32University of Washington0.560.2%1st Place
-
4.36Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
2.68Western Washington University1.030.3%1st Place
-
4.47University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
2.81University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kaas | 15.7% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 11.5% |
| Colin Bartels | 17.8% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 11.4% |
| Lena Captain | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 33.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 26.6% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 37.2% |
| Connor Hughes | 25.1% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.