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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.25+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.31+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.75-0.01vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.01+2.40vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.21+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.60-0.74vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.29-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.41-2.32vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.79-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Northwestern University1.250.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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6.4Purdue University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.9Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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5.98Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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4.84Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Kluger | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Sammy Barbour | 13.6% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Allison Prange | 27.5% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Perry | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 26.5% |
| George Halsted | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 19.0% |
| Emily Golden | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Maggie Junkin | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
| Peter Lewis | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| Graham Hutchings | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.