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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.48vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.64vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+9.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+4.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+2.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+0.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38+0.31vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-0.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.56vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.41+4.51vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.17vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-1.95vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-4.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.98vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.62vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.20-4.01vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.06-4.82vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.10-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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4.64Harvard University3.1816.6%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University1.591.5%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.687.8%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.738.9%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.587.6%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.5%1st Place
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14.51Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College2.384.7%1st Place
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10.05Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
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14.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.9%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College1.201.5%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont1.061.7%1st Place
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14.57University of New Hampshire0.101.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 26.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 21.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| Sam Harris | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.