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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-0.17+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.56+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95-1.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.58-1.68vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-3.19vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Washington0.560.2%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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3.32Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
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2.81Western Washington University1.030.3%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lena Captain | 6.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 35.0% |
| Colin Bartels | 17.0% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 10.5% |
| Connor Hughes | 27.0% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 17.0% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 10.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 25.1% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.