← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.58+2.89vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.95+0.37vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.16+1.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.56-0.90vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.17-0.76vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University1.03-3.76vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia1.14-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89Western Washington University0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.37University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
5.19University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
4.1University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
-
5.24Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
3.24Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
2.95University of British Columbia1.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kaas | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Connor Hughes | 16.9% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 33.8% |
| Colin Bartels | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 10.8% |
| Lena Captain | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 34.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 19.9% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 25.5% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.