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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia-0.11+4.43vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.58+1.24vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.95-1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.56-2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-1.51vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.17-2.44vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.58-2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.31-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of British Columbia-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.23Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington0.560.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.56Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.3Oregon State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Stewart | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 7.9% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 10.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 23.5% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 22.7% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Colin Bartels | 15.2% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 8.4% |
| Lena Captain | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 8.8% |
| Jin Parisien | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 19.5% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.