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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+3.59vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.87+6.67vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.08+5.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50-0.07vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.06+5.91vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.17+6.41vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.56vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.74vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11-3.94vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-3.87vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.21vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo1.00-0.89vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.12vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.67Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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4.93Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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11.91Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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7.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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4.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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8.88SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Madigan | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 15.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Barrie Joanna | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 26.0% | 16.9% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 19.2% | 53.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Adam | 16.2% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 25.6% | 20.7% |
| John Lawless | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.