Race 2A

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michael Madigan 11.0% 9.9% 12.2% 10.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 7.7% 6.6% 7.0% 3.9% 2.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Eddie Cox 12.0% 11.6% 12.2% 10.4% 9.1% 9.4% 7.0% 8.7% 6.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Maximilian Kuester 8.8% 9.6% 7.9% 9.4% 10.2% 7.1% 10.5% 9.6% 8.4% 7.3% 5.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Erik Weis 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 10.2% 6.9% 9.3% 8.2% 7.8% 7.9% 9.0% 8.4% 7.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Connor Godfrey 9.5% 9.8% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 7.4% 10.1% 8.3% 6.5% 4.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
John Lawless 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 4.6% 4.3% 5.6% 6.2% 7.5% 8.7% 10.6% 10.4% 13.3% 10.6% 5.7% 1.6%
Bailey Carter 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 8.0% 6.7% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.6% 6.4% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Bradley Adam 16.2% 15.8% 13.0% 12.8% 11.0% 9.2% 7.4% 5.4% 4.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Herrin 13.2% 13.9% 13.7% 10.6% 11.1% 9.4% 9.3% 6.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 2.8% 2.3% 3.5% 2.3% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.0% 9.6% 11.9% 12.9% 13.1% 10.5% 3.8%
Barrie Joanna 1.0% 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 4.6% 5.0% 6.8% 9.3% 16.4% 25.1% 18.0%
Charles Bocklet 3.0% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.3% 5.7% 6.1% 7.4% 9.4% 12.6% 13.2% 12.8% 6.8% 2.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 5.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.1% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 9.9% 10.0% 11.1% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Dante Iozzo 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.6% 5.6% 6.6% 10.1% 16.1% 24.5% 19.1%
Connor Kasper 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.4% 4.0% 8.9% 18.9% 53.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.