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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+5.15vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+3.86vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.34vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+3.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.63vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.70vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-2.01vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-5.11vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.08-1.83vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.87-2.03vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University1.06-1.03vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.17-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.86Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.55SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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8.92SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.97Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.97Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 16.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Peter Hidley | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Barrie Joanna | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 24.3% | 18.0% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 52.7% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.