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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+4.52vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+3.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.69vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+1.76vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.87vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.87+2.42vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50-3.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.70vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.57vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.06+0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.08-2.87vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo1.00-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.17-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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5.85Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.72SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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4.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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9.42Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.65Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.43SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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11.71Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erik Weis | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Barrie Joanna | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 17.4% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 17.7% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.