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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+6.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+6.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.19vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.41+4.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.98vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-0.14vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.73-6.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.28vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.06-3.92vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-4.63vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.58-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Roger Williams University2.687.6%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.226.3%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.1815.6%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College2.384.5%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.2%1st Place
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14.57Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College1.201.9%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.7310.2%1st Place
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14.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.4%1st Place
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14.8University of New Hampshire0.100.9%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont1.062.1%1st Place
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12.37Northeastern University1.592.6%1st Place
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7.91Boston College2.586.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 26.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 21.4% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 31.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
| Peter Busch | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.