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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+4.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.04vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.08+4.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.91vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-0.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.51vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.63vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.39vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.87-0.40vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-0.59vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-5.83vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.17+0.53vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.06-2.33vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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4.62Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.61SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.6Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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6.17Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.53University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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11.67Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 18.2% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Erik Weis | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Peter Hidley | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 54.1% |
| Barrie Joanna | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 24.6% | 13.9% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.