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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.87+8.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+2.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+0.72vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.72vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59+4.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-1.80vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.58-2.07vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20+0.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.85vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.23vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-3.94vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.46vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.28vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Harvard University3.1815.3%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.738.8%1st Place
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11.89University of Vermont0.871.9%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University2.689.2%1st Place
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5.28Yale University2.7312.3%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University1.591.8%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College2.586.6%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College1.201.9%1st Place
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14.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.7%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.6%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.6%1st Place
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11.06Bowdoin College1.482.3%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy0.411.4%1st Place
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14.72University of New Hampshire0.100.9%1st Place
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9.97Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 21.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 25.9% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 28.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.