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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.79-0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-0.99vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.940.00vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.80vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.97-1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.97-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6University of Wisconsin1.790.5%1st Place
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2.01University of Minnesota1.180.3%1st Place
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4.0Washington University-0.940.0%1st Place
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3.2University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Iowa-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Minnesota-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 54.9% | 32.2% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 32.4% | 41.8% | 19.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 4.2% | 6.2% | 18.4% | 37.2% | 24.8% | 9.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.9% | 15.0% | 41.1% | 26.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
| Beatrice Rodrigues | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 13.6% | 33.5% | 43.9% |
| Dalton McGowan | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 15.6% | 31.3% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.