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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.79+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-1.01+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.18-2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.55-0.95vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.94-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64University of Wisconsin1.790.6%1st Place
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4.43University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.09University of Minnesota1.180.3%1st Place
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5.05University of Iowa-1.550.0%1st Place
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4.4Washington University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 55.0% | 29.7% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Leary | 2.2% | 6.0% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 28.4% | 24.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 9.0% | 13.7% | 30.4% | 28.0% | 14.5% | 4.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 29.7% | 41.6% | 20.2% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Hess | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 50.3% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 2.5% | 5.7% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 32.0% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.