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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.79+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.01-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.55-1.95vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.94-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65University of Wisconsin1.790.5%1st Place
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2.11University of Minnesota1.180.3%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Iowa-1.550.0%1st Place
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4.38Washington University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 53.4% | 31.9% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 31.7% | 36.9% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.5% | 15.0% | 31.4% | 26.5% | 14.7% | 3.9% |
| John O'Leary | 2.4% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 31.7% | 23.5% |
| Madeline Hess | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 50.2% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 2.8% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 26.9% | 28.0% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.