← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota1.18+1.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.79-0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.83vs Predicted
-
5Washington University-0.94-0.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-1.97-1.92vs Predicted
-
8University of Iowa-1.97-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.06University of Minnesota1.180.3%1st Place
-
1.55University of Wisconsin1.790.6%1st Place
-
3.17University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
-
4.04Washington University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
5.08University of Minnesota-1.970.0%1st Place
-
5.09University of Iowa-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 28.8% | 43.5% | 21.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tom Groskopf | 57.7% | 30.6% | 10.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.7% | 14.4% | 39.1% | 28.0% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 3.1% | 6.8% | 17.8% | 36.5% | 26.6% | 9.2% |
| Dalton McGowan | 0.7% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 33.1% | 44.0% |
| Beatrice Rodrigues | 1.0% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 15.9% | 30.6% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.