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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.79-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-0.85vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.94+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.01-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.38vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.84-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Wisconsin1.790.5%1st Place
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2.15University of Minnesota1.180.3%1st Place
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4.52Washington University-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.62University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Iowa-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 53.5% | 30.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 30.3% | 38.1% | 20.6% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 3.8% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 27.2% | 30.1% |
| John O'Leary | 2.2% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 27.9% | 31.5% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.9% | 13.4% | 27.0% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 3.3% | 5.4% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 24.9% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.