← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.14-0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.08+0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-0.67+0.11vs Predicted
-
5Washington University-2.10+0.47vs Predicted
-
8University of Iowa-0.99-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
-
1.5University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
-
3.3University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.47Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
-
4.45University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 25.1% | 43.9% | 22.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Siegel | 60.8% | 29.3% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.1% | 13.4% | 35.2% | 29.1% | 12.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.1% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 31.0% | 30.1% | 11.2% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.6% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 69.5% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 2.3% | 4.5% | 11.9% | 25.6% | 38.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.