← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.14-0.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-0.67+0.87vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota0.08-0.80vs Predicted
-
6Washington University-2.10-0.72vs Predicted
-
8University of Iowa-1.81-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
-
1.49University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
-
3.87University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
-
3.2University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
-
5.28Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
-
5.02University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 25.2% | 44.5% | 22.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Siegel | 62.6% | 27.5% | 8.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.8% | 7.7% | 21.1% | 38.6% | 22.5% | 6.3% |
| Michael Valverde | 6.7% | 16.2% | 38.8% | 28.1% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 29.0% | 54.3% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 16.3% | 38.2% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.