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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.14-0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.67-0.08vs Predicted
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6Washington University-2.10-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.81-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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1.49University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
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3.17University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.27Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 25.3% | 45.0% | 23.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Siegel | 61.8% | 29.0% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.4% | 13.9% | 40.0% | 28.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.1% | 7.9% | 19.4% | 39.7% | 23.0% | 6.9% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 29.7% | 53.8% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 16.2% | 37.8% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.