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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.79+3.91vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.25+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.31+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.75-1.11vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.21+0.90vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.01+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.60-1.69vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.29-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.41-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.12Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Michigan1.310.2%1st Place
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2.89University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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5.9Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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6.45Purdue University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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5.92Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Hutchings | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| David Kluger | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Sammy Barbour | 17.8% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Allison Prange | 27.0% | 24.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| George Halsted | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 19.6% |
| Sean Perry | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 25.7% |
| Emily Golden | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% |
| Maggie Junkin | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| Peter Lewis | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.