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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+5.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.33vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+0.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+0.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.91vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-3.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.20-1.28vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-3.25vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-2.59vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.42vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Roger Williams University2.687.3%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.586.8%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.4%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.1816.8%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.785.3%1st Place
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6.61Brown University2.739.7%1st Place
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5.3Yale University2.7312.8%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.2%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.387.4%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.1%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College1.482.9%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University1.591.9%1st Place
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14.58Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
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14.73University of New Hampshire0.100.7%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.8% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 22.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 26.5% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 28.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.