← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.14+0.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.31+0.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.08+0.13vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.67-1.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Iowa-2.03-1.85vs Predicted
-
8Washington University-2.10-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
-
2.08University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
-
3.13University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.88University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.15University of Iowa-2.030.0%1st Place
-
5.24Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Siegel | 59.5% | 30.5% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sullivan | 28.1% | 42.3% | 23.4% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.5% | 15.3% | 39.7% | 28.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Adkins | 2.7% | 8.0% | 20.1% | 42.2% | 21.6% | 5.4% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 0.6% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 11.0% | 37.4% | 44.1% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 11.4% | 33.2% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.