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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.14-0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.95vs Predicted
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6Washington University-1.20-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-2.03-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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1.5University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
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3.25University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.68Washington University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Iowa-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 25.5% | 43.8% | 22.6% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Siegel | 61.5% | 28.6% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.4% | 13.6% | 36.1% | 30.0% | 10.3% | 1.6% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.1% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 32.1% | 28.6% | 9.9% |
| Katherine McIvor | 1.0% | 4.2% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 36.9% | 26.8% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 9.8% | 22.8% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.