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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.14+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.08+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.67+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.31-1.92vs Predicted
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5Washington University-2.10+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.81-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
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3.21University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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5.27Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Siegel | 59.6% | 30.4% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 7.2% | 15.0% | 40.8% | 24.8% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Michael Adkins | 4.6% | 6.7% | 19.0% | 41.7% | 21.8% | 6.2% |
| Scott Sullivan | 26.9% | 44.6% | 22.6% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 28.4% | 54.3% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.9% | 1.6% | 5.4% | 15.7% | 38.4% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.