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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.67+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.31-3.92vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.81-1.98vs Predicted
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8Washington University-2.10-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
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3.94University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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5.02University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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5.26Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Siegel | 59.6% | 30.6% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 2.7% | 7.3% | 21.2% | 38.3% | 22.9% | 7.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 9.2% | 14.1% | 38.3% | 28.3% | 8.8% | 1.3% |
| Scott Sullivan | 27.1% | 44.1% | 23.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 14.8% | 37.0% | 39.2% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 12.1% | 30.3% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.