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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.08+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.31-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.99-0.55vs Predicted
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7Washington University-2.10-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.67-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52University of Wisconsin2.140.6%1st Place
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3.32University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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4.45University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.45Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Siegel | 62.1% | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 6.5% | 16.5% | 34.3% | 27.2% | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Scott Sullivan | 25.6% | 43.8% | 22.1% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 2.1% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 25.6% | 38.3% | 17.4% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 69.6% |
| Michael Adkins | 2.9% | 6.4% | 18.3% | 30.7% | 31.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.