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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.08vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+1.89vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.20+4.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.73-1.59vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-4.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48-0.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-2.18vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.59-0.50vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.73-8.63vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-0.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-4.12vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.65vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Roger Williams University2.688.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.3%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.786.6%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University2.226.4%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.585.8%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College1.201.8%1st Place
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6.41Brown University2.739.6%1st Place
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4.76Harvard University3.1817.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.0%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College1.482.9%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.591.8%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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14.85University of New Hampshire0.100.8%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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14.35Maine Maritime Academy0.411.5%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 30.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 24.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.