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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.41vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College-0.85+1.35vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72-0.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-3.14+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.85-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.7%1st Place
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3.35Ocean County College-0.850.0%1st Place
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2.08Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Military Academy-3.140.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Delaware-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Roleke | 66.7% | 26.4% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Morrow | 4.5% | 10.9% | 35.7% | 43.4% | 5.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 23.7% | 49.6% | 21.4% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Conor Smith | 0.2% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 87.0% |
| John Waller | 4.9% | 11.9% | 32.4% | 43.5% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.