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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.38vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.11vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-0.85+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.85-0.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-3.14-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.7%1st Place
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2.11Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
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3.31Ocean County College-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Delaware-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Military Academy-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Roleke | 69.1% | 24.3% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 22.3% | 50.7% | 21.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Morrow | 5.0% | 12.3% | 35.3% | 41.7% | 5.7% |
| John Waller | 3.3% | 11.8% | 33.9% | 43.4% | 7.6% |
| Conor Smith | 0.3% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 9.3% | 86.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.