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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.25+2.95vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.29+4.11vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.750.00vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.60+1.16vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.01+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.31-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.41-1.27vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.79-3.09vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.21-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Northwestern University1.250.2%1st Place
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6.11Ohio State University0.290.0%1st Place
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3.0University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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5.16University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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6.31Purdue University0.010.0%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan1.310.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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4.91Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.09Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Kluger | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Maggie Junkin | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| Allison Prange | 26.9% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Golden | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Sean Perry | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 26.9% |
| Sammy Barbour | 17.0% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Peter Lewis | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 12.7% |
| Graham Hutchings | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| George Halsted | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.