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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+5.02vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.58+3.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+0.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.90vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+2.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.88vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.20+1.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-1.08vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59+0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-1.12vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-6.78vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.10-1.21vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.43vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.22-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Yale University2.7311.6%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University2.688.7%1st Place
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4.69Harvard University3.1815.6%1st Place
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7.74Boston College2.587.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.738.9%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.2%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College1.483.0%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College1.202.4%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.591.8%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.871.7%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College2.387.3%1st Place
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14.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.3%1st Place
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14.79University of New Hampshire0.101.4%1st Place
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14.57Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| William Michels | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 20.3% |
| Sam Harris | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 29.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 26.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.