Race 8 - mccurdy | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.6

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Matthew Roleke & Meredith Foor

Stevens Institute of Technology

1.76

+0.30

vs Predicted
2

Maggie Morrow & Angelina Graham

Ocean County College

-0.85

+0.83

vs Predicted
3

Frederick Piasecki & Tracy Venella

Drexel University

0.72

-1.04

vs Predicted
4

Conor Smith & Jack Bui

U. S. Military Academy

-3.14

-0.10

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.3

Matthew Roleke & Meredith Foor

Stevens Institute of Technology

1.76

0.7%

1st Place
2.83

Maggie Morrow & Angelina Graham

Ocean County College

-0.85

0.1%

1st Place
1.96

Frederick Piasecki & Tracy Venella

Drexel University

0.72

0.2%

1st Place
3.9

Conor Smith & Jack Bui

U. S. Military Academy

-3.14

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Matthew Roleke	72.7%	24.5%	2.8%	0.0%
Maggie Morrow	5.3%	13.1%	74.4%	7.2%
Frederick Piasecki	21.9%	61.0%	16.3%	0.8%
Conor Smith	0.1%	1.4%	6.5%	92.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.