← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.38+7.76vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.73+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.83vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.68+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.39+4.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.13vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.38+0.16vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.20+3.93vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.86vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.26+2.00vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+3.15vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.22-2.23vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.22-5.20vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.06-2.02vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.10-0.36vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.18-11.35vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.58-9.41vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.76Bowdoin College2.384.9%1st Place
-
5.27Yale University2.7313.5%1st Place
-
8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.8%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
-
9.83Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
-
8.13University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
-
7.16Dartmouth College2.387.7%1st Place
-
11.93Connecticut College1.201.8%1st Place
-
7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.4%1st Place
-
12.0Northeastern University1.262.1%1st Place
-
14.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.9%1st Place
-
9.77Brown University2.224.6%1st Place
-
7.8Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
-
11.98University of Vermont1.061.8%1st Place
-
14.64University of New Hampshire0.100.8%1st Place
-
4.65Harvard University3.1816.8%1st Place
-
7.59Boston College2.587.3%1st Place
-
14.54Maine Maritime Academy0.411.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| Mason Stang | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 30.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.