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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+5.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.75vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+5.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.66vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.31vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45+4.57vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+1.59vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.67vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.80+0.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.14vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.41-4.41vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-5.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.22vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.25-6.48vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.63-4.92vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.47-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.57Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.43Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.52Yale University3.250.0%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 25.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.