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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+6.21vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+5.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+7.81vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.79vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+3.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+6.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25+0.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.25vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+1.83vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.38-2.78vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-1.90vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-5.81vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.63-3.07vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.23-6.44vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-8.18vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.42Yale University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.83Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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11.1Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 25.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 19.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.