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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+6.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+5.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+7.90vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+5.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.94vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.45+6.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+2.40vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.69vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.21vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.26vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-5.58vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-3.73vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.47-7.51vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.63-4.88vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.38-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.7Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.4Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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13.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.42George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.27Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.12Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 24.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.