Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hank Seum 20.1% 19.3% 15.2% 13.4% 11.9% 8.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Reese Ambrose 4.9% 5.2% 7.0% 6.8% 7.0% 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 11.3% 7.3% 2.1%
William Stratton 6.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 9.4% 10.8% 9.6% 10.8% 8.5% 7.1% 4.6% 0.8%
Cole Schweda 22.8% 20.0% 14.8% 13.7% 9.2% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Blake March 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 10.6% 11.8% 11.1% 11.7% 8.6% 2.1%
Dawson Kohl 7.0% 7.1% 6.6% 7.8% 9.5% 8.9% 11.1% 10.1% 10.2% 10.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.0%
Fiona Froelich 10.3% 12.3% 12.4% 13.0% 9.8% 10.0% 10.5% 7.7% 6.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Jack Adderley 4.7% 3.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.4% 8.1% 10.1% 10.8% 10.3% 12.4% 11.8% 3.1%
Noah Scholtz 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.0% 7.0% 7.9% 11.4% 14.6% 21.4% 12.2%
Ghislaine van Empel 9.9% 9.7% 11.9% 11.3% 12.0% 11.8% 9.5% 8.9% 6.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Kamron Kaiser 4.5% 5.3% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 8.8% 11.2% 9.8% 11.2% 10.8% 7.0% 2.1%
Peter Miller 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.5% 4.7% 6.9% 8.6% 11.7% 15.0% 21.1% 10.2%
Jay Hay 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 11.8% 65.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.