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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+6.60vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.67+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+2.91vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.31+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.17+1.43vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.22+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.55+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.30-3.03vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.92+1.74vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.24-4.61vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.09-2.29vs Predicted
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12Washington University-0.76-4.03vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-1.83-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Northwestern University-0.384.3%1st Place
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2.31University of Wisconsin1.6739.6%1st Place
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5.91University of Saint Thomas-0.037.0%1st Place
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6.8Hope College-0.315.3%1st Place
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6.43University of Michigan-0.176.0%1st Place
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6.29Unknown School-0.225.9%1st Place
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7.38University of Minnesota-0.554.9%1st Place
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4.97University of Wisconsin0.3011.2%1st Place
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10.74Arizona State University-1.921.1%1st Place
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5.39Texas A&M University0.247.5%1st Place
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8.71Marquette University-1.092.9%1st Place
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7.97Washington University-0.763.3%1st Place
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10.5Grand Valley State University-1.831.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| William Styslinger | 39.6% | 25.6% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| John McCalmont | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Casey Dietsch | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Carter Harms | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 39.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Karle | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 9.7% |
| Alexandra Adams | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Lucy Herlein | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.