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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kelleher 29.1% 25.3% 18.9% 13.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 33.8% 26.6% 19.1% 11.3% 6.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Walsh 3.8% 6.2% 6.9% 10.1% 12.3% 17.1% 21.5% 15.0% 6.7% 0.4%
Sam Millham 4.5% 7.9% 12.2% 15.7% 18.1% 18.2% 12.2% 8.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Jeff Goodrich 17.2% 20.5% 21.0% 19.6% 11.0% 6.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Thomas Presti 6.2% 6.0% 10.6% 12.1% 17.3% 18.1% 13.7% 11.8% 4.0% 0.2%
Lucas Campbell 3.0% 3.4% 6.8% 8.5% 15.0% 17.6% 19.1% 17.7% 7.9% 1.0%
Tom McKenzie 1.5% 2.7% 3.1% 5.7% 7.2% 10.0% 15.7% 24.4% 25.9% 3.8%
Gabrielle Heine 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 3.7% 4.1% 5.4% 11.0% 17.7% 44.9% 9.9%
Noah Aschen 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 4.0% 8.0% 84.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.