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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.33+1.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+0.39vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.48+2.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+0.97vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89-1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.72-0.78vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.99vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-1.89vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.04-2.03vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-1.88-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Vermont3.330.3%1st Place
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2.39Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.97Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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3.24Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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6.01Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.97McGill University0.040.0%1st Place
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9.68Brandeis University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kelleher | 29.1% | 25.3% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 33.8% | 26.6% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Walsh | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 15.0% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Sam Millham | 4.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 17.2% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Campbell | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Tom McKenzie | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 24.4% | 25.9% | 3.8% |
| Gabrielle Heine | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 44.9% | 9.9% |
| Noah Aschen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.