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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+6.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+4.17vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+3.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+3.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+2.43vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-0.59vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98+0.85vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+1.77vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-1.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.30vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-2.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-5.55vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-4.60vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.38vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.41-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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11.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.43Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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12.77Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.4Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.5George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 26.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.