← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.79+6.40vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+9.95vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.09vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.62vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University3.41+3.65vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.18+3.71vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.23+2.48vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.25+1.34vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.88-2.26vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.84-2.83vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.98-0.31vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.38-2.79vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.32vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.45-1.61vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.70-7.58vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.47-7.45vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.80-5.52vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.63-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
11.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
8.65George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.71Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
9.48Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.34Yale University3.250.0%1st Place
-
6.74Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
7.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.69Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
9.21Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
13.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
12.39Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.42Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.55Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.48Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
11.78Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 24.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.