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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+8.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+7.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+2.50vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+5.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-0.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-2.95vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-1.39vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.12vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-1.63vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-3.77vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-6.21vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.70-9.31vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.63-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Yale University3.250.0%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.88Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.37Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 25.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.