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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.87+7.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+6.57vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+6.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.75vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+0.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-1.53vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72-0.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-4.54vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-3.20vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22+1.11vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.43-7.72vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-2.96vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.44vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.77-12.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.9Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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10.1Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.8Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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15.11Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.04Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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13.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 16.1% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| John Rolander | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 43.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.