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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.50vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+7.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+3.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.76vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.50vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.87+0.63vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-0.33vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.01+2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-2.38vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.72-2.87vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.79-4.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-7.95vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.22-0.61vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-7.57vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.47Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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4.5Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.08Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.64Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.39Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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13.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 18.0% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| John Rolander | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 45.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.