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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.87+8.84vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.34vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+7.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+5.16vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-0.98vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-1.52vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-0.91vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.22+3.54vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-6.95vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-1.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.24vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.56vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.72-6.59vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.24-13.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.47Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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15.54Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.66Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.41George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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4.37Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| John Rolander | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 48.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.9% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.