← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.95+8.45vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.77+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.24+1.62vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.24+4.05vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.24vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.72+4.30vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.92+2.45vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.49-0.95vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College3.21-0.78vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.33vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.01+2.04vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.67vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.22+2.19vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.41vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.79-5.09vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.87-6.29vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.72-6.61vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University3.43-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.45University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
6.28Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
4.62Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
8.05Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.3Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.45Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.05Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.22Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
13.04Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
13.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
15.19Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.91Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
9.71Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.39George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.19Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 42.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.