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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+9.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.21vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.31vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.87+2.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-0.96vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.40vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-1.51vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-0.95vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.35vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.01-0.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22+1.09vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.72-4.80vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-7.49vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.41Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.05Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.87Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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15.09Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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13.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 19.3% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| John Rolander | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 42.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.